Oscar Countdown – Foreign Film, Director & Best Picture

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So with the Oscars only a few hours away, here are my last couple of predictions of the major categories.

Foreign Language Film

  • “Amour” (Austria)
  • “Kon-tiki” (Norway)
  • “No” (Chile)
  • “A Royal Affair” (Denmark)
  • “War Witch” (Canada)

Who will win:  “Amour”

“Amour” has been the clear front-runner for the Foreign Language award throughout the season, and is easily the most widely recognisable entry in the category.  Personally I think all the buzz around this film is justifies, as it’s a beautiful, poignant and intense movie that pulls at your heart-strings right up to the last moments.  I was surprised to learn it was actually an Austrian entry, despite it being in French and set in Paris.

Who should win:  “Amour

Not to detract from any other entries, but this film will easily get the award.  Although it is nominated for Best Picture as well, I think instead it’ll win this category instead.  I do have an infinity towards the Canadian entry “War Witch”, but that’s only because it’s my home country. 🙂

The upset vote:  None

“Amour” is too strong a contender in my mind, but you just never know what may happen.

Directing

  • David O. Russell – “Silver Linings Playbook”
  • Ang Lee – “Life of Pi”
  • Steven Spielberg – “Lincoln”
  • Michael Haneke – “Amour”
  • Benh Zeitlin – “Beasts of the Southern Wild”

Who will win:  David O. Russell

Russell’s “Silver Lining Playbook” has been taking the awards season by storm, and his direction of the film is beautifully done with him getting amazing performances from his leads.

Who should win:  Ang Lee

“Life of Pi” was just gorgeously shot, and one of the few movies lately that actually looked better in 3-D than regular viewing.  He was also able to bring a story with many different religious aspects to it alive without it coming across as preachy or overly biased to any one religion.  However I think it is more likely for the film to win the cinematography or visual effects awards it’s also nominated in.

The upset vote:  Steven Spielberg

Spielberg is a legend when it comes to directors, and it wouldn’t really surprise me that he stole the prize away from the others.  The true upset would have been if Ben Afleck had been nominated for “Argo”, but sadly he wasn’t despite him winning the directing awards from other ceremonies.

Best Picture

  • “Beasts of the Southern Wild”
  • “Silver Linings Playbook”
  • “Zero Dark Thirty”
  • “Lincoln”
  • “Les Miserables”
  • “Life of Pi”
  • “Amour”
  • “Django Unchained”
  • “Argo”

Who will win:  “Argo

This film has been scooping up awards all over the place, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see it pick up the big award tonight as well.. sort of as a ‘sorry’ to director Ben Afleck for not being nominated despite the positive reviews he’s received for his work.

Who should win:  “Life of Pi

This movie was just gorgeous.. And it be kinda cool to see a 3-D movie win the big prize.

The upset vote:  “Les Miserables” or “Silver Lining Playbook

To be honest, I think this category is hard to predict, as there are several strong contenders who’ve garnered a lot of praise and awards from other ceremonies.

Well.. that’s my predictions for tonight.  We’ll see how I did in those 10 categories after tonight’s broadcast, and I’d be interested to hear how your predictions panned out as well.

Enjoy the show! 🙂

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